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Opinionated Rugby Commentary - by Fans for Fans Spill what you really think about events in the rugby world.
Super Rugby Round 11 Margins Difficult To Pick 9 views
07 May 2012 by The Swede Eaters
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Scotty Donaldson looks at Super Rugby Round 11 and how the margins were more difficult to pick than the winners. He also looks at the Top Six contenders.
Super Rugby Round 11 has gone and the margins were far more difficult than picking the winners this week. Over the last four rounds I have 23 out of 25 winners, but unfortunately in Round 11 I have only picked within five point of the margin once.
Most people thought the Chiefs, Bulls, Crusaders and even the Cheetahs would win by more and that the Hurricanes, Brumbies and Sharks would win by less.
Next week will be tougher for punters as the old adage of picking both the Blues and Lions to lose will be wrong.
The Super Rugby standings look interesting with four teams (Stormers, Bulls, Crusaders, Chiefs) looking safe in my opinion to make the top six.
I think the Chiefs and Highlanders will fade slightly as the season progresses, but the Chiefs will have enough of a safety buffer to still make the finals.
The Highlanders will run out of steam and will lose out to the Sharks, Hurricanes or even the Reds who are breathing heavily down their neck.
The Reds have a favourable draw heading into the home straight and I think they will improve as they get more of their frontline players on deck (Quade Cooper especially). They may actually beat the Brumbies who have lost the impressive Christian Lealiifano for the season.
Super Rugby Round 11
Fri 4 May 19:35 Hurricanes 35-19 Blues Westpac Stadium
Fri 4 May 21:40 Rebels 35-41 Bulls AAMI Park
Sat 5 May 19:35 Chiefs 34-21 Lions Waikato Stadium
Sat 5 May 21:40 Brumbies 23-6 Waratahs Canberra Stadium
Sun 6 May 03:05 Sharks 28-16 Highlanders Kings Park
Sun 6 May 11:10 Cheetahs 17-13 Western Force Free State Stadium
Sun 6 May 16:00 Crusaders 15-11 Reds Rugby League Park
Stormers BYE
Super Rugby Top Six After 11 Rounds
Team P W L D PF PA PD Points
Chiefs 10 9 1 0 275 183 92 44
Bulls 9 7 2 0 311 206 105 42
Brumbies 10 6 4 0 265 212 53 35
Stormers 9 8 1 0 210 144 66 41
Crusaders 10 7 3 0 268 217 51 37
Highlanders 10 7 3 0 244 231 13 34
Who are the teams to watch for you? Do you like the Reds, Sharks and Hurricanes chances of moving up to the top six? Do you think the Highlanders and Brumbies can hold on?
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Super Rugby Round 11
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